美股美股...~~!沒草了..

limfly

Cycle analysis like technical analysis is an art, far from a science. Nailing these cycles down today is especially difficult. Market cycles represent the ebb and flow of market action and seasonality. While this was difficult enough in the past, now it requires even more creativity given the meddling of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) with their interest rate suppression and bond buying activities of Quantitative Easing.

An easy to read example of a long-term cycle is in the monthly chart below where you can see the shape and clarity of previous bull and bear market cycles of the last 20 years. Yet, with the help of the FOMC we can see that a bear market has been avoided and price broke out of the cycle pattern.
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limfly

This is only an example, as many of us know that before 1997 there were factors that muddied the water and disrupted the flow then too.

Below is the cycle chart that Carl created (and I added a few annotations to). The areas where all of the cycle lows intersect are of great interest since a cycle low is due for all. The last time this happened was in October 2014 and while it came in late, it was still pretty close. The next time this happens is in August.

limfly

美股美股...~~!沒草了..[複製鏈接]....

ltwltwltw

未來事誰知
世事難料.......................

godiamond

日股這兩萬點幾乎沒壓力
加上港股上證
台股動了嗎？

NEWBMW520

版主很用功喔....
要我.我就沒那麼大的本事.....

god貓

準備大回鍋?
鍋底有沒有洞
有漏洞不就漏光光

123456also

這個圖太難懂了唷............
===我實在看不董啊!!!!!!!!!!!!!

golelone

準備要拉回了嗎？資金趕快跑到亞洲吧

chiaming

小弟淺見
這次只能說是2分之一的機會
明天或後天得確有大漲大跌的機會
若是今晚或明晚的美股大跌的話
就真的可能是主殺段的開始囉

不過這也有但書，假設
今晚或明晚的美股是大跌
但台股仍是照漲不勿，那美股就只是修正第2波的abc而已
而台股已經是邁向第3波主升段先走一步了
...

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trmcpango

感覺大家的功力很厲害
都看的懂~~~
小的還要多研究 才能摸到皮毛阿~~~

vs080

Cycle analysis like technical analysis is an art
蔡英文不佳

我也看不懂這圖0.0
不過歐 亞 股市大都漲到最高點了
美股也在高點超久的 真是不知會何時+因為何事而大跌下來~

roro333888

現在要觀察的應該事陸股

今天晚上公布蘋果的財報喔